On 5th May 2011, the first time since devolution in July 1999, the Scottish National Party won a majority of seats in the Scottish Parliament at Holyrood. One of the key manifesto promises of the party is to hold a referendum on Scottish independence before 2016. While political commentators have begun discussing the potential political […]
March 28, 2011
While reading the Office for Budget Responsibility‘s United Kingdom Economic and Fiscal Outlook – March 2011 over the weekend (yes, I had that much fun), I noticed the chart below: It shows the difference between the current rate of UK inflation (CPI) and an estimate of inflation had sales taxes (VAT and excise duty on […]
February 16, 2011
Where do you think the BoE will go with interest rates in Q2 2011? Is there really enough spending in the system to warrant raising them? This question was asked by anonymous reader via Formspring. The table above is taken from the Bank of England’s latest Inflation report and shows the latest market expectations for […]
November 30, 2010
The bulk of the financial troubles in the Eurozone – at least those which have become apparent thus far – have occurred in the so-called “peripheral” states, ie. small countries that are in huge financial difficulties when viewed individually (ie. Greece, Ireland, Portugal), but are small enough to be rescued by their larger brethren in […]
September 29, 2010
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (“MPC”) has maintained interest rates at current 0.5% level since March 2009 and its Asset Purchase Programme (a.k.a. quantitative easing) at £200bn since November 2009, the consensus amongst the committee members is now beginning to break down, creating uncertainty regarding the future direction of monetary policy. One member […]
September 21, 2010
When the Bank of England formally launched its quantitative easing program in March 2009, the minutes from the meeting stated that this policy mechanism would work by: stimulating the demand for corporate credit instruments [and] improve the supply of funds to the corporate sector. The purchases would also mean that the banking system would be […]
September 13, 2010
While reading a recent commentary posted on the Guardian Comment Is Free website, I came across the following economic policy suggestion from Dean Baker, co-director of the Centre for Economic and Policy Research: The Fed should be targeting a higher rate of inflation, in the 3-4% range. This would reduce real interest rates and debt […]
July 18, 2011
2