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Stock Market & Economic Analysis
Which UK Company Has The Most Impenetrable Financial Statements?
OK, I don’t have the answer to this question at the moment, but I’m seeking the feedback of readers in order to identify the UK listed companies with the most horrific-looking financial statements. I don’t just mean high leverage, but the full works: related party transactions, operating & capital leases, unlisted joint ventures and associates, […]
Posted in: Uncategorized
Update: Euromoney Institutional Investor – 55% Undervalued
July 28, 2011
Earlier this year I reviewed the UK-listed financial media group Euromoney Institutional Investor plc (report here), concluding that: In summary, I view Euromoney Institutional Investor as a well-diversified business with interests in a large number of leading publications and services. Fixed asset and working capital requirements are negligible, allowing the company to generate a large […]
Posted in: Investment Ideas
Recommended Reading (21st July 2011)
July 21, 2011
Domino’s delivers on bid talk and growth hopes (Independent). Talk of a 600p/share offer from private equity versus the current 453p/share price. Question: Why buy Domino’s Pizza UK Ireland plc at a trailing P/E ratio of 30.5x when you can buy the ultimate franchise-holder Domino’s Pizza Inc for a trailing P/E ratio of 17.5x? I’ve […]
Posted in: Uncategorized
Updated Apple Inc Model – Base Case $537 per Share; Bull Case $630
July 20, 2011
My analysis of Apple is relatively rough and ready, but I believe a great level of detail is not required given the simple balance sheet and huge gap between the estimate ($537) and the current share price ($390). The key assumptions are as follows: 4Q11 revenue identical to that reported in 3Q11. Year-on-year revenue growth […]
Posted in: Investment Ideas
The Economic Issues Raised by Possible Scottish Independence
July 18, 2011
On 5th May 2011, the first time since devolution in July 1999, the Scottish National Party won a majority of seats in the Scottish Parliament at Holyrood. One of the key manifesto promises of the party is to hold a referendum on Scottish independence before 2016. While political commentators have begun discussing the potential political […]
Posted in: Economy, My Thoughts
My Financial & Economic Pet Hates
July 10, 2011
In no particular order, here goes: Stock/flow errors. This is usually the mistake of journalists and politicians rather than professional investors, though is still far and away my biggest pet hate due to the basic nature of the error. For those readers not familiar with the concept, a stock is a measure taken at a […]
Posted in: My Thoughts
Clarkson plc: Cash Machine
July 4, 2011
Listed on the London Stock Exchange (LON:CKN) Clarkson plc, recently covered by Valuhunteruk, describes itself as: Clarksons are the world’s leading provider of integrated shipping services, bringing our connections and experience to an international client base. We play a vital intermediary role between shipowners and ship charterers across every sector of maritime trade. Our network of […]
Posted in: Investment Ideas
Back Next Week
June 24, 2011
Apologies about the recent lack of posts – I’ve been otherwise engaged. CautiousBull should be back in action later next week. In the meantime, you can follow me on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed to get new posts as soon as they’re ready.
Posted in: Uncategorized
Is ASOS plc Overvalued?
June 14, 2011
Taken from the company’s own website, ASOS plc describes itself as: ASOS is a global online fashion and beauty retailer and offers over 50,000 branded and own label product lines across womenswear, menswear, footwear, accessories, jewellery and beauty with approximately 1,500 new product lines being introduced each week. Aimed at fashion forward 16-34 year olds […]
Posted in: Investment Ideas
Chinese Property Developer Shui On Land Faces A Liquidity Squeeze
June 14, 2011
As you may have seen from my Twitter feed yesterday, I learned that I didn’t get (yet another) job that I recently interviewed for. However, the upside of this is I can now share the presentation that I made at the second round of the interview process. I was asked to perform a credit analysis […]
Posted in: My Thoughts
Cautious Bull 
April 16, 2012
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